Chile, ¿ nos acecha el populismo?

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Se equivocan quienes creen que los errores del actual gobierno de la Concertación va a llevar a los desencantados a optar en forma automática por la Alianza por Chile.


He constatado que este descontento tiene una dimensión más profunda y afecta a toda la clase política. Y en ese escenario confuso puede meter la cola el populismo.

Algo hay en la idiosincrasia latinoamericana, que inconscientemente busca en cualquier elección presidencial, una suerte de señor de Los Anillos, un Mesías, que en forma mágica termine de una vez por todas con los problemas socio-económicos del país. Eso lo saben muy bien los demágogos. En función de ello, los populistas entonan sus cantos de sirena diciéndoles a las clases menos favorecidas (las cuales son la mayoría en nuestra Latinoamérica), lo que quieren oír..

Ese es precisamente el riesgo de los populismos. Prometen quitarle a los ricos para darle a los pobres. No consideran, ( o no quieren considerar) que lo clave no es quitar a unos para darles a los otros, sino que el problema de fondo es cómo se va a generar el crecimiento económico.

En nuestro continente sobran los ejemplos. Perón, en la Argentina, Fidel Castro, en Cuba, Allende en nuestro país, hace 37 años, actualmente, Hugo Chávez es nítidamente el arquetipo del populismo desbocado.

Los populistas no hacen sino confirmar que las políticas de esa naturaleza promueven las divisiones entre las clases y siembran la semilla de la inestabilidad social y la destrucción económica. Para tranquilidad del continente, aunque momentánea, varios pueblos se han resistido a care en el populismo. Ollanta Humala, cayó en Perú. Sánchez Obrador, en México.

El populismo le genera a una gran parte de la población la esperanza de que el gobierno le redistribuirá la riqueza de los ricos entre ellos, por lo que si al poco tiempo de instaurado el gobierno, los pobres no perciben una mejora significativa en su status de vida, se sienten obligados a realizar protestas callejeras para refrescarle a quien eligieron lo prometido. A la larga el torpe manejo de la economía, tratando de mantener la popularidad del gobierno, desencadenará fuertes desequilibrios macroeconómicos, que ponen en peligro la gobernabilidad y la democracia.

En la gran mayoría de los casos, como ocurrió en Chile, de Allende,estos gobiernos populistas terminan generándoles fuertes desequilibrios económicos a sus países, lo que hace que paradójicamente se incremente la brecha entre ricos y pobres. La igualdad no llega nunca.

Lecciones para Chile.-

Si bien existen elementos objetivos para pensar que este es el último gobierno de la Concertación, nada garantiza hasta ahora que es el turno de la Alianza por Chile. De no lograr seducir al electorado, por alguna parte se puede meter nuevamente el fantasma del populismo. Y por lo que está ocurriendo en otras naciones sudamericanas como Venezuela, seríamos irresponsables si dejamos crecer a esos fantasmas.
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Comentarios

Yo en lo personal creo que existen dos tipos de Populismos:

1.-Populismo abierto: Es aquel que deja de manifisto sus posturas populista y demagogicas principalmente en  periodo de elecciones, tal es el caso de Allende, Humala, sanchez obrador.

2.-Populismo tapado y encubierto: Es aquel que en su esencia es populista, pero se disfrasa de todo lo contrario para asi obtener el apoyo de la ciudadania, para luego estando en el poder dejar de manifiesto y poner en practica sus ideas planes de trabajo.

Ejemplo de este ultimo es el Gob. Chileno de Bachelet, donde en un principio se mostro como un gob. moderado, pero que con el paso de los meses fue dejando clara su postura, por ejemplo repartiendo pastillas abortivas, intenciones de votar en primera Instancia por Venezuela en el consejo de seguridad.Esto es solo un voton.

Por suerte en Chile existe un equilibrio que tenemos que agradecerselo a la DC, el cual gracias a las condiciones de los pactos politicos que dan nacimiento a la concertacion estos han actuado como freno al populismo tapado del Gob. Chileno.

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Creo que tu post hace una pregunta bastante atingente al momento en que vivimos, pues con un Gobierno que da "palos de ciego", una ciudadania altamente descontenta y desilusionada, una oposición que no logra canalizar ese descontento y la mejor bonanza económica en nuestra historia estan dado el caldo de cultivo para caer en populismos.

Ahora, en mi opinión, yo no meteria a Allende ni a Castro dentro del grupo de populistas, del cual Perón es un muy buen "paradigma". Creo que tanto el chileno como el cubano aplicaron un modelo socialista, cuyas deficiencias y divisiones son más inherentes a la ideologia socialista que a gobiernos populistas.

El fenomeno que actualmente vemos en América Látina es un neo-populismo  que ha resultado ser mucho más peligroso de lo pensado, debido a la rapidez con que se ha expandido, aún cuando los ultimos resultados eleccionarios en  Perú y México podrian indicarnos otra cosa.

Yendo al tema de fondo, nuestro país se ha caracterizado por un "razonamiento cívico" mayor al de nuestros vecinos; dicho de otra forma, la población chilena es bastante pragmatica en sus inclinaciones, de hecho el mismo sistema binominal (tan vilipendiado por algunos y que yo mismo propongo cambiar)  ha actuado como freno a potenciales liderazgos populistas. En el Chile de hoy  veo imposible que el populismo tenga alguna posibilidad de exito. Primero por que  -en un examen comparado- nuestros políticos tienen mejor nivel que aquellos  en los paises donde "gano" el populismo, por tanto ellos mismos -en forma corporativa- no lo permitirian; en segundo lugar, la población ha demostrado no dejarse engañar por esas posiciones y en tercer lugar, el patron de comportamiento electoral de los chilenos nos dice que es un electorado conservador y pragmatico, por tanto dificilmente se inclinara por una aventura incierta.

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Creo que a corto plazo veo difícil que un gobierno realmente populista vaya a caer por acá, después de haber asistido de espectador a un mittin político en Mendoza, Argentina. si alguien considera que los políticos de acá son poco serios... por favor, vayan a ver a los del lado (Una enorme cantidad de opciones políticas se llaman "anti-XXX"... o sea, en contra del otro, pero sin postular nada). Hasta me tocó escuchar a un señor diciendo "porque nosotros tenemos vocaión de poderrrr" (textual).

Hasta ahora, el caso más cercano de populismo que he visto en este lado de la cordillera ha sido el de Joaquín Lavín: la única persona que en un mismo libro propuso medidas que impliquen que haya que subir y bajar impuestos a la vez. Menos mal que no ganó  :)

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